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Home » News & Features » Urban Future (Blog) » Detail
Decelerando?
by nickland @ Wednesday, 29 June 2011 18:02
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Charles Stross wants to get off the bus
Upon writing Accelerando, Charles Stross became to Technological Singularity what Dante
Alighieri has been to Christian cosmology: the pre-eminent literary conveyor of an esoteric
doctrine, packaging abstract metaphysical conception in vibrant, detailed, and concrete
imagery. The tone of Accelerando is transparently tongue-in-cheek, yet plenty of people
seem to have taken it entirely seriously. Stross has had enough of it:
“I periodically get email from folks who, having read ‘Accelerando’, assume I am some kind
of fire-breathing extropian zealot who believes in the imminence of the singularity, the
uploading of the libertarians, and the rapture of the nerds. I find this mildly distressing, and
so I think it's time to set the record straight and say what I really think. … Short version:
Santa Claus doesn't exist.”
In the comments thread (#86) he clarifies his motivation:
“I'm not convinced that the singularity isn't going to happen. It's just that I am deathly tired
of the cheerleader squad approaching me and demanding to know precisely how many
femtoseconds it's going to be until they can upload into AI heaven and leave the meatsack
behind.”
As these remarks indicate, there’s more irritable gesticulation than structured case-making
in Stross’ post, which Robin Hanson quite reasonably describes as “a bit of a rant – strong on
emotion, but weak on argument." Despite that – or more likely because of it -- a minor netstorm ensued, as bloggers pro and con seized the excuse to re-hash – and perhaps refresh -some aging debates. The militantly-sensible Alex Knapp pitches in with a three-part series on
his own brand of Singularity skepticism, whilst Michael Anissimov of the Singularity Institute
for Artificial Intelligence responds to both Stross and Knapp, mixing some counter-argument
with plenty of counter-irritation.
At the risk of repeating the original error of Stross’ meat-stack-stuck fan-base and investing
too much credence in what is basically a drive-by blog post, it might be worth picking out
some of its seriously weird aspects. In particular, Stross leans heavily on an entirely
unexplained theory of moral-historical causality:
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Decelerando Article that's Magazines Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen
Nick Land/Texts/Blog Posts/Urban Future/Decelerando__Article_that's Magazines _ Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen.pdf
"… before creating a conscious artificial intelligence we have to ask if we're creating an entity dese
shut down a software process that is in some sense ‘conscious’? Is it genocide to use genetic algor
agents towards consciousness? These are huge show-stoppers..."
Anissimov blocks this at the pass: "I don’t think these are 'showstoppers' … Just because you don’t
won’t build it." The question might be added, more generally: In which universe do arcane objectio
serve as obstacles to historical developments (because it certainly doesn’t seem to be this one)? Do
practical robotics research and development is likely to be interrupted by concerns for the rights of
He seems to, because even theologians are apparently getting a veto:
"Uploading ... is not obviously impossible unless you are a crude mind/body dualist. However, if it
future we can expect extensive theological arguments over it. If you thought the abortion debate w
people trying to become immortal via the wire. Uploading implicitly refutes the doctrine of the exis
therefore presents a raw rebuttal to those religious doctrines that believe in a life after death. Peop
will go to the mattresses to maintain a belief system that tells them their dead loved ones are in he
ground."
This is so deeply and comprehensively gone it could actually inspire a moment of bewildered hesita
us not presently engaged in urgent Singularity implementation). Stross seems to have inordinate co
process that, with approximate adequacy, filters techno-economic development for compatibility w
religious ideals. In fact, he seems to think that we are already enjoying the paternalistic shelter of a
Singularity can’t happen, because that would be really bad.
No wonder, then, that he exhibits such exasperation at libertarians, with their “drastic over-simplifi
stuff – especially new stuff – were to mostly happen because decentralized markets facilitated it, th
Innovations Approval Board would be vastly curtailed. Who knows what kind of horrors would show
It gets worse, because ‘catallaxy’ – or spontaneous emergence from decentralized transactions – is
innovation according to libertarian explanation, and nobody knows what catallactic processes are p
customs, common law precedents, primordial monetary systems, commercial networks, and techno
ever retrospectively understandable, which means that they elude concentrated social judgment en
impede their genesis has been missed.
Stross is right to bundle singularitarian and libertarian impulses together in the same tangle of crit
subvert the veto power, and if the veto power gets angry enough about that, we’re heading full-tilt
because you don’t want it doesn’t mean that we won’t build it," Anissimov insists, as any die-hard C
Is advanced self-improving AI technically feasible? Probably (but who knows?). There’s only one way
Perhaps it will even be engineered, more-or-less deliberately, but it’s far more likely to arise sponta
decentralized, catallactic process, at some unanticipated threshold, in a way that was never planned
candidates, which are often missed. Sentient cities seem all-but-inevitable at some point, for instan
already widely discussed). Financial informatization pushes capital towards self-awareness. Drone wa
ever deeper into artificial mind manufacture. Biotechnology is computerizing DNA.
‘Singularitarians’ have no unified position on any of this, and it really doesn’t matter, because they’
are nowhere near intelligent or informed enough to direct the course of history. Only catallaxy can
imagine how anybody could stop it. Terrestrial life has been stupid for long enough.
It may be worth making one more point about intelligence deprivation, since this diagnosis truly de
position, and reliably infuriates those who don't share -- or prioritize -- it. Once a species reaches a
techno-cultural take-off, history begins and develops very rapidly -- which means that any sentient b
singularity) history is, almost by definition, pretty much as stupid as any 'intelligent being' can be.
religious doctrines designed to obfuscate this reality, it is eventually recognized, the natural respon
amelioration, and that's already transhumanism, if not yet full-blown singularitarianism. Perhaps a
is possible: defending dimness is really dim. (Even the dim dignitarians should be happy with that.)
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